LLAW’s All Things Nuclear #682, Friday, (07/05/2024)
LLAW’s All Things Nuclear #682, Friday, (07/05/2024)
“End Nuclear Insanity Before Nuclear Insanity Ends Humanity”
LLAW’s NUCLEAR ISSUES & COMMENTS, Friday, (07/05/2024)
The following “Countercurrents” article is a well-stated example of the ‘interim’ between ‘now’ and ‘then’, full of human confusion, uncertainty, dread, and fear we have of the future so long as there is the constant threat of Nuclear War that may only be prevented temporarily by what is called “deterrence”, which, in my opinion, cannot prohibit nuclear war forever because there are financial and technical limits to the constant expansion of nuclear arsenals to keep other nuclear nations at bay. Although the word ‘deterrence’ is not mentioned in the article, the well-described associated problems and weaknesses of ‘deterrence’ are very well covered by the author.
But the only possible way to achieve his valiant point of view and hope for world peace and thereby avoid nuclear war will never happen unless we are trusting enough as independent nations to come together long enough to destroy forever and/or make absolutely inaccessible ‘all things nuclear’ including not only weapons of mass destruction, but also nuclear reactor power generation, which in a war environment, will become themselves weapons of nuclear mass destruction even if we manage to environmentally safely control them, which, in reality, will not be the case.
And, contrary to the propaganda of industry opinion, uranium is mined, extracted from the earth, no differently than any other non-renewable CO2-belching (coal, oil, gas, etc.) except that the more extensively refined uranium fuel product burns with much less waste of CO2 and other greenhouse gasses, but that is certainly no trade-off for nuclear radiation from nuclear reactors as well as nuclear waste, that is far more poisonous and universally dangerous to human and other life than all the other non-renewable fueled power plants combined. ~llaw
Can we rest assured that just because of the unacceptably high costs of nuclear war and World War III, these will never happen?
in World
by Bharat Dogra
05/07/2024
In the middle of several very serious questions haunting humanity today the one which looms over all others is this terrible one—how high is the possibility of World War 3/ nuclear war and how destructive this will be?
Even those who take an optimistic view of the existing situation do not deny the obvious fact that weapons of mass destruction that exist with just the two biggest nuclear weapon powers (over 10,000 nuclear weapons plus other weapons) have the capacity to destroy most life on earth several times over. They base their optimism mainly on their view that just because the risks of a large-scale nuclear war are so unacceptably high, this will never be allowed to actually happen by the world leadership and no matter how serious the hostilities become, some solution will always be found to avoid a war that has the capacity to destroy all sides.
Can this optimism be accepted? Is this optimism justified? Is this optimism good for reducing worries and tensions of people, or is it likely to prove extremely harmful by creating a false assurance of safety and thereby avoiding much-needed safety steps? Do the actual risks remain unacceptably high?
What is at stake here is so huge—the very survival of life on planet—that even a low probability of an all-out nuclear war should be seen as extremely dangerous. If for example a 5% probability of this existed till about a few years ago, then this was a very serious matter and if this has now increased to about 10% then this is a much more serious matter. If this probability now appears to show a further increasing trend then this makes the situation even more alarming.
On the whole we can say definitely that the probability of a life-destroying nuclear war today is unacceptably high and it shows all the signs of worsening further.
There are two aspects that need to be considered here, firstly the state of world leadership and governance and secondly certain technological factors.
It is extremely unfortunate that when international peace and cooperation are needed more than ever before to avoid the most catastrophic situations, the world leadership has been increasingly exposed in recent times for its glaring failures to achieve such peace and cooperation. In fact it is no exaggeration to say that at a time when the need for moving fast on the path of peace, disarmament and cooperation is the highest, world leadership has been instead moving in the reverse direction, as evident from increasing superpower rivalries and tensions as well as breakdown and non-renewal of important disarmament treaties or agreements.
In addition there are several serious environmental problems which together threaten to disrupt life-nurturing conditions of earth if not checked in time. To resolve these in time, apart from strong community actions, close international cooperation is also needed but this too is denied by increasing big power disputes and rivalries, as well as inability of the most of the rich countries to adopt a caring attitude towards the needs of poorer and most vulnerable countries. This is mentioned here as another example of the failure of world leadership to get its priorities right and resolve the most urgent problems before it is too late.
The most dangerous aspect of increasing irresponsibility shown by the leadership of big powers is their apparent willingness to pursue their rivalries and hostilities in ways that bring them closer to the possibilities of direct war ( in addition to the several proxy wars they have fought and are fighting). Despite warnings by some of their most senior statesmen and diplomats, the USA and its close allies persisted with the relentless eastward expansion of NATO, thereby increasing tensions with Russia. This worsened with a coup in Ukraine assisted by them, followed by pushing Ukraine relentlessly towards increasing hostility with Russia. In the course of the Ukraine-Russia conflict, USA and close allies have increasingly taken decisions that can lead to direct confrontation of Russia with USA and its close allies/ NATO. New red lines have been drawn and crossed several times in the recent past.
The spread of dangerous ideas among elites and the absence of adequate training in commitment to peace makes them more susceptible to pursue irrational hostility rather than peace, and it is from these elites that the most decisive posts are filled and it is these elites that comprise the deep establishment.
Secondly, regarding the technological aspects, the extremely high speed at which nuclear weapons can be made to reach their targets makes it difficult to correct serious mistakes. It is possible in times of high tensions to mistake normal weapon delivery as nuclear weapon delivery and take retaliatory actions. There are possibilities of accidents and misunderstandings that can start a nuclear war.
There is huge irrationality and recklessness involved in perpetually living in a state of being just minutes away from doomsday.
The fact that world leadership sees nothing wrong in living this way year after year, endangering the life of billions of people and other life forms, is further evidence of its glaring failure to protect the most crucial interests of the planet and its life.
The previous two world wars were fought over several years and involved prolonged battles in many countries. World War 3 can take a very different shape as so much harm is caused within just a few days that it cannot continue beyond this. However it will be worse than the previous two world wars taken together as within a few days of nuclear warfare and the resulting nuclear winter most people and other life-forms will die or will be left to die. The actual use of just 10% of the existing stock of nuclear weapons will be enough to achieve such a hugely destructive result.
It is not just a question of whether the probability of this ever happening is 5% or 10%, more or less. The fact is that by any rational reckoning any probability of this happening even at minimum levels is unacceptable. This is a betrayal by world leadership of their most essential responsibility towards people, towards this generation and the next, towards completely innocent children, towards all forms of life.
Hence it is time for the people of the world to rise, led by women and youth, to create an entirely different world where the probability of such huge destruction by weapons and wars is zero, and where all people can live in peace and cooperate to resolve the most important environmental problems in time and ensure that all people can have creative, satisfactory livelihoods to meet their basic needs on a sustainable basis. In short, the world should be firmly on a path based on peace, safety, environmental protection and justice.
Bharat Dogra is Honorary Convener, Campaign to Save Earth Now. His recent books include Planet in Peril, Protecting Earth for Children, Earth without Borders, Man over Machine and A Day in 2071.
ABOUT THE FOLLOWING ACCESS TO “LLAW’S ALL THINGS NUCLEAR” RELATED MEDIA:
There are 6 categories, including a bonus non-nuclear category for news about the Yellowstone caldera and other volcanic and caldera activity around the world that play an important role in humanity’s lives, as do ‘all things nuclear’ for you to pick from, usually with up to 3 links in each category about the most important media stories in each category, but sometimes fewer and occasionally even none (especially so with the Yellowstone Caldera). The Categories are listed below in their usual order:
All Things Nuclear
Nuclear Power
Nuclear Power Emergencies
Nuclear War
Nuclear War Threats
Yellowstone Caldera (Note: There is one Yellowstone Caldera bonus story available in this evening’s Post.)
Whenever there is an underlined link to a Category media news story, if you press or click on the link provided, you no longer have to cut and paste to your web browser, since this Post’s link will take you directly to the article in your browser.
A current Digest of major nuclear media headlines with automated links is listed below by nuclear Category (in the above listed order). If a Category heading does not appear in the daily news Digest, it means there was no news reported from this Category today. Generally, the three best articles in each Category from around the nuclear world(s) are Posted. Occasionally, if a Post is important enough, it may be listed in multiple Categories.
TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD’S NEWS, Friday, (07/05/2024)
All Things Nuclear
NEWS
Believing in Nuclear Deterrence and Angels - World BEYOND War
World BEYOND War
... all when you're talking about nuclear bombs getting through. Interestingly, Barash includes in his book a survey of the data on how people who .
Iran's nuclear 'restraint' is policy rather than technology - JNS.org
Jewish News Syndicate
The inside of an uranium conversion facility just outside the city of Isfahan, about 254 miles south of Tehran, Iran, in 2005. Photo by Getty Images.
1 Nuclear Energy Stock to Buy Now for Data Center Upside - The Globe and Mail
The Globe and Mail
Real-time index price for Nasdaq Health Care Index (IXHC), along with buy or sell indicators, analysis, charts, historical performance, ...
Nuclear Power
NEWS
List of Norwegian towns considering nuclear continues to grow
World Nuclear News
In April last year, the municipality of Vardø in Finnmark proposed nearby Svartnes as a possible site for a nuclear power plant to Norsk Kjernekraft, ...
Top Nuclear Power Countries: India Beats Pakistan, But Where Do US, Russia, China Rank?
Times of India
Top Nuclear Power Countries: Did you know that China is building its nuclear stockpile faster than any other country in the world including the US ..
Nuclear power has an advantage not reflected in its average price. It's price stability, and for ...
Tech Xplore
Much of the debate about nuclear power in the month since the Coalition announced its plan to install reactors in seven states has been about ...
Nuclear Power Emergencies
NEWS
Framatome awarded further contract at Swiss plant : Corporate - World Nuclear News
World Nuclear News
Framatome has been awarded a contract by Kernkraftwerk Gösgen-Däniken AG to modernise the reactor protection system in the emergency control ...
There will be fewer outage schedules until 3 p.m., significant imports and emergency ...
unn.ua
... electricity from the Polish power system on an emergency basis. This will ... zaporizhzhya-nuclear-power-plant Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant.
Nuclear War
NEWS
Can We Rest Assured That Just Because Of The Unacceptably High Costs Of Nuclear War ...
Countercurrents
What is at stake here is so huge—the very survival of life on planet—that even a low probability of an all-out nuclear war should be seen as extremely ...
Nuclear arms race intensified during Trump's presidency - The Hill
The Hill
... nuclear arms race, and a threat of nuclear war against North Korea, all of which have contributed to the increasing likelihood of nuclear war.
Putin believes Trump is sincere about ending war as Moscow conducts nuclear drills
The Independent
Russian attacks kill two and wound 26 in Ukraine. Russian strikes killed two people and wounded 26 in Ukrainian regions stretching from the south to ...
Nuclear War Threats
NEWS
US Mayors for Peace Call for Dialogue in a Time of Nuclear Danger | The Nation
The Nation
The Russian war on Ukraine, with its attendant nuclear threats, and an ... Nuclear Dangers.” This is the 19th consecutive year that the USCM ...
Europe Has Avoided the Nuke Question For Decades. No Longer. - POLITICO
Politico
During the Cold War, Europe was terrified by the possibility of nuclear war. ... And Putin's nuclear threats have only grown in recent months; in June ...
Nuclear arms race intensified during Trump's presidency - The Hill
The Hill
... nuclear weapons, and Trump's return to public threats of nuclear war ― this time against Iran. Given this record, as well as Trump's all-too .
Yellowstone Caldera
NEWS
Etna in eruzione, fontane di lava ed emissione di cenere dal vulcano - YouTube
YouTube
24:53 · Go to channel. Henrys Fork Caldera: Yellowstone's Last Caldera Eruption Completely in Idaho. Shawn Willsey•183K views · 18:31 · Go to channel ...